Growing up

 “Growing up,” she told me, “is learning to stop believing people’s words about you.”

– Lulu Miller, Why Fish Don’t Exist

There comes a quiet shift in adulthood — not just the gaining of responsibilities, but the gradual unlearning of the stories others have told us about who we are. Their labels, judgments, even their praise — all of it forms a shell that isn’t always ours to carry. Growing up, in the truest sense, might be the moment we realize we are not the sum of others’ perceptions, but something far more fluid, complex, and unfinished.
We begin to rewrite the narrative from the inside out.

Yesterday's video

Writing is thinking - that is true without a doubt. But writing for reading is a whole different ball game.  

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3_lTELjWqdY

I watched this video yesterday and found it fascinating and informative. Yes, I was not on full agreement on all points. But it was nonetheless worthy of my time.

How AI Is Helping Us Understand Complex Systems—Not Just Predict Them

We often think of AI as a tool to predict the future—like guessing the weather, stock prices, or whether someone might get sick. But AI is starting to do something even more powerful: helping us understand the rules behind how complex systems work.

A recent issue of Complexity Thoughts explores this shift, showing how new AI methods are uncovering the hidden patterns behind things like disease spread, traffic flow, brain activity, and more. The goal isn't just to know what will happen—but to figure out why.

From Forecasting to Figuring Things Out

Most AI tools today are built to spot patterns and make forecasts. But these new approaches aim to find the actual equations—the basic rules that explain how a system behaves over time.

That’s a big leap. It means AI isn’t just guessing anymore—it’s helping build scientific models.

Why Simpler Models Are Better

Many of these studies use a method called sparse modeling. Instead of creating big, complicated equations, these models look for the smallest number of pieces needed to explain what’s going on.

Why? Because most systems—even complex ones—are driven by just a few key factors. If we can find those, we get models that are easier to understand and work with.

This approach is already being used to:

• Study how fluids flow,
• Track how diseases spread,
• Understand patterns in brain signals,
• And model chaotic systems like weather patterns.

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Finding the Right Way to Look at a System

Sometimes, raw data is messy or overwhelming—like thousands of brain signals or climate measurements. Even with powerful tools, it’s hard to see what matters.

One AI method solves this by first learning the best way to describe the system, and then figuring out the rules. It’s like teaching a computer to choose the right map before trying to navigate a city.

A Machine That Thinks Like a Scientist

Another team built what they call a Bayesian machine scientist. Instead of trying one model, it tries out many different ones, tests how well they match the data, and picks the best. It even learns from a large library of past equations, the way a human scientist might rely on years of experience.

When Randomness Is Part of the System

Some systems—like bird flocks or the brain—are naturally unpredictable. They have a lot of randomness built in. Instead of treating that randomness as noise, a new method called a Langevin Graph Network includes it in the model.

This has already led to real discoveries:

• Showing how birds flock using rules scientists have long suspected.
• Modeling how harmful brain proteins spread—something important for Alzheimer’s research.

Why This Is a Big Deal

Together, these projects show a big shift in how we use AI:

• Not just to automate tasks, but to help us discover how the world works.
• Giving us simple, understandable models we can use to guide action.
• Making science faster, more open, and easier to explain.

In a world dealing with complex challenges—like climate change, pandemics, and social disruption—this kind of AI could help us not only respond faster, but understand better.

Want to explore more? Check out Complexity Thoughts for links and summaries of these fascinating papers.

Unlock Your Writing Potential: Proven Techniques for Consistent Productivity

Introduction

This document is based on the transcript of this entertaining video. I recommend viewing the video as well as reading this post. 

Writing is often challenging, even painful, for many individuals. Occasionally, it flows effortlessly, but frequently, motivation can be a significant barrier. This document provides tips and strategies for maintaining motivation while writing—whether it's a research paper, thesis, or other writing tasks. Special attention is given to unusual yet effective techniques.

Motivation

Staying motivated is essential, especially when writing documents such as research papers or theses that significantly impact your academic and professional career. Inspiration can be fleeting, and relying solely on spontaneous bursts of motivation is not sustainable. Modern distractions like social media and infinite scrolling exacerbate this issue. Thus, creating effective habits and techniques is essential to maintain consistent writing productivity.

Make Your Results Visible

Visibility of progress significantly boosts motivation:

• Graph Progress: Use graphs, like simple Excel charts, to visually track milestones such as word count.

• Tangible Tracking: Implement tangible methods, such as moving paper clips from "not yet done" to "done" as you reach specific writing milestones.

• Kanban Boards: Utilize tools like Asana or Trello to manage your writing process visibly. Clearly show each writing stage—drafting, reviewing, revising, and finalizing—to maintain momentum and encourage continuous progress.

Routine and Action Association

Creating routine actions that your brain associates with writing can enhance motivation:

• Example - Herbal Tea Ritual: The speaker prepares peppermint or lemongrass and ginger tea before writing sessions. The consistent act of making tea signals the brain to transition into writing mode.

• Consistent Preparation: Adopt a consistent pre-writing routine, such as taking a short walk or another specific action, to trigger a productive mindset automatically.

Affirmations

Though often dismissed by a scientific mindset, affirmations may positively influence motivation:

• Example Affirmation: Clearly state your goals aloud regularly, such as, "I, [Your Name], will complete my thesis by the end of this year."

• Affirmations keep your goals at the forefront of your mind, enhancing focus and aligning your daily actions toward achieving these objectives. Regular repetition helps embed your objectives into your subconscious, thereby aiding sustained motivation.

Understanding Your Daily Best

Accepting that your daily productivity will vary is crucial:

• Your performance will fluctuate daily—some days you'll excel, while others will feel more challenging.

• Understand and accept these fluctuations without letting perfectionism impede your progress. Recognizing and being comfortable with this variability can itself become a source of motivation.

Summary

Maintaining motivation in writing requires a structured, adaptable approach. By visibly tracking progress, associating productive routines with writing, employing affirmations, and accepting daily variability in performance, you can improve your overall writing productivity. For further guidance, resources, and comprehensive strategies, visit the speaker's website at academiatoolkit.com for the "Ultimate Academic Writing Toolkit," forums, and additional resources.

Why Feeling Understood Matters as Much as Physical Survival: Lessons from Stephen Covey

"Next to physical survival, the greatest need of a human being is psychological survival—to be understood, to be affirmed, to be validated, to be appreciated."
–Stephen R. Covey, The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People

This quote comes from Stephen Covey's influential book "The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People," and it speaks to a fundamental human need that goes beyond basic physical requirements.

Covey is highlighting that after our physical needs for food, water, and shelter are met, our most pressing need is psychological - to feel truly seen and valued by others. This includes:

• Being understood: Having others grasp what we're really saying and feeling
• Being affirmed: Having our experiences and perspectives acknowledged as valid
• Being validated: Receiving confirmation that our thoughts and feelings matter
• Being appreciated: Having our contributions and presence recognized as valuable

This insight forms part of the foundation for Covey's fifth habit: "Seek First to Understand, Then to Be Understood." He argues that empathic listening - truly trying to understand others before asking them to understand you - is one of the most powerful skills we can develop in our relationships.

The quote reflects psychological research on human motivation, particularly Abraham Maslow's hierarchy of needs, which places "belongingness and love needs" and "esteem needs" just after physiological and safety needs. It speaks to our deeply social nature and how meaningful connection is essential to our wellbeing.

The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People

The Egg Crisis: How Bird Flu and Political Decisions Are Affecting Your Breakfast

Eggs, once a reliable and affordable staple in American kitchens, have become a luxury item as bird flu ravages poultry farms across the nation. This crisis extends beyond just breakfast tables, affecting restaurants, supply chains, and even politics, with rising prices adding to consumer frustrations about inflation.

Original article

The Soaring Cost of Eggs

The price surge has been dramatic. In certain areas, like Wisconsin, a carton of pasture-raised eggs can cost up to $10. Perhaps most striking is the comparison to gasoline—typically the benchmark for consumer price complaints—with eggs now costing $1.74 more per dozen than a gallon of gas. This unprecedented reversal has left many Americans reexamining their grocery budgets and food choices.

The impact reaches far beyond home kitchens. Major restaurant chains including Denny's and Waffle House have been forced to revise their menus in response to egg shortages and price increases. Meanwhile, grocery stores have implemented purchase limits on egg cartons to prevent hoarding and ensure more equitable distribution among consumers.

Bird Flu: The Culprit Behind the Crisis

The primary driver of this egg shortage is highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI), which has necessitated the culling of egg-laying hens across the country. Farmers have had to destroy infected flocks to prevent further spread of the disease, significantly reducing the nation's egg production capacity.

Beyond the immediate economic impact, there's growing public health concern. Nearly half of Americans worry about the possibility of bird flu mutating to cause human outbreaks. This anxiety is well-founded, as zoonotic diseases (those that jump from animals to humans) have been responsible for several major pandemics throughout history.

Political Implications and Response

The egg crisis presents a significant challenge for the Trump administration, which has only been in office for six weeks. While the bird flu outbreak predates his presidency, the administration's response has come under scrutiny. According to reports, mass government layoffs included an unspecified number of professionals working on the bird flu response—personnel who officials are now scrambling to rehire.

These layoffs, reportedly overseen by Elon Musk as part of broader government cuts, have been criticized as displaying "bureaucratic incompetence." Only about one-third of Americans express satisfaction with President Trump's handling of prices, suggesting political vulnerability on economic issues.

Leadership Questions

Further complicating matters is the appointment of Kyle Diamantas, described as a 37-year-old Miami attorney and hunting companion of Donald Trump Jr., as the acting deputy commissioner for human foods at the Food and Drug Administration. In this role, Diamantas is responsible for overseeing safety for 80% of the nation's food supply, including managing threats like avian influenza.

Critics question whether his experience qualifies him to address complex food safety challenges, particularly during a crisis of this magnitude. His LinkedIn profile has been described as "a study in brevity," raising concerns about his relevant expertise.

The Broader Impact

The egg shortage illustrates how disruptions in one sector can ripple throughout society. Beyond breakfast, eggs are crucial ingredients in countless recipes, condiments, and processed foods. The scarcity affects everything from aioli for french fries to Caesar dressing and Chick-fil-A sauce.

The situation has even led to unusual law enforcement activities, with border patrol agents confiscating smuggled eggs as price differences create incentives for black market trade.

Looking Forward

As the bird flu situation continues to evolve, Americans face continued uncertainty about egg prices and availability. The administration's ability to effectively address both the agricultural crisis and its economic fallout may significantly influence public perception of its competence in managing domestic affairs.

For consumers, adaptation remains the immediate response—whether through finding egg alternatives, adjusting recipes, or simply paying premium prices for this once-affordable protein source that has become, decidedly, no longer cheaper by the dozen.

Original article

Unraveling Change: How Small Sustainability Efforts Can Transform the Textile Industry

So far, there aren’t many studies that connect small, specific projects with large-scale global systems or examine how different levels and processes interact. This paper uses a leverage points framework to explore how systems can be transformed. It looks at four sustainability efforts in the textile industry and examines how they fit into a larger network of connected systems. It also considers how these connections influence the ability of these efforts to create real change.

Systems onion(s) for sustainable ventures. The sustainable ventures (left) offer new ways of producing and consuming textiles, and thus represent a new, alternative system. They then work to attract consumers from the existing, dominant and unsustainable system

How Can Small Sustainability Efforts Transform the Textile Industry?